Saturday, October 31, 2015

Shortly before Pearl Harbor

August 7,1941

Pearl Harbor was still 4 months in the future.  
My mother, father, three brothers and I were returning from our annual two weeks vacation on Onaway Island in Sunset lake in the Chain of Lakes near Waupaca, Wisconsin, heading home to Nashville, Tennessee.  Dad's birthday was July 31 and mother had arranged for all of us to spend a night overlooking  Lake Michigan and Grant Park at the historic Stevens Hotel on Michigan Avenue in Chicago. 
My two younger brothers, Larry and Carl, were eleven  and nine years old.   Brother Daniel was nineteen and a second year student at the University of Illinois.  I was in my senior year in high school.  

We had gone to sleep fairly early and at about two o'clock in the morning, Dad awakened Daniel and me and said "I want you to come and look out the window and listen!"  As soon as we came close to the window we could hear a quiet "brump, brump, brump bump bump" sound of a drum beat and then saw down below on Michigan Avenue soldiers marching.  I remember him saying :"We will soon be in another war".Shortl

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Money sent home by illegals

Another early morning musing    5/18/10

I don't fully understand why these crazy ideas wake me up at such awful hours, like 4:15 this morning, and eliminate the possibility of any further badly needed sleep.  I supposedly should get a good 7 or so hours of sleep at night for good health at my age.
It must be my sub-conscience or something like that, with which I was wrestling, while sleeping, over a discussion I heard on a TV or radio program a day or so ago.  It was part of some arguments about the "illegal immigration problem" that is rising to center stage with the recent Arizona law -- that will surely "cause all sorts of racial discrimination" -- according to many of the supposedly well-meaning people in our country, in Mexico, and even in the UN (!) and the rest of the world.  To top it all off we are led to believe that many of these well-meaning people have never even read the law.  So emotions and prejudices run wild.
So here is just one more log to throw on the fire.  I believe some part of the illegal alien controversy is responsible for the most efficient and effective from of international relief that we can give.  Consider $100 that goes directly from the working illegal to his family.
Every time we pay some of these illegals, part of that money goes quickily and directly to a needy family in Mexico as an example.  If we were to help those same needy families through typical government largesse, that $100 would be collected in taxes, moved to Washington, subjected to applicable government overhead, sent  to some agency or bureaucracy in Mexico, subjected to their overhead and finally trickled down to the family.  How much would they get?  -- $10 perhaps?
I wouldn't deny that I am postulating a favorable, legitimate use of the directly sent $100.  Maybe some would go toward drugs, etc., but I believe most of the illegals send it for better use.
So in one sense we who pay the illegals are making contributions that may be even more effective and efficient than if we had given $100 to our church, synagog,  or some non-profit relief organization for their distribution.

Perhaps we should consider giving  the "Payor" a tax deduction.

Expatriots - Beverly, Pauline, and Hope

Carpe Diem!!  Carpe Diem!!   (12/17/07)

Dear Beverly, Pauline, and Hope,
I am inclined to awaken in the wee hours of the moment with ideas spinning around in my head that occasionally seem magically simple (to me, that is!) and I have to write them down -- perhaps to forget appropriately or frequently to pursue.
This early morning I want to tell you how excited I am about your brief conversation around the bridge table yesterday, 12/17/07, when you all recounted a variety of experiences as temporary expatriates (?)  in Europe after WW ll.  
When I tried to tell you how exciting I felt your conversation was, the immediate tendency seemed  to be an attempt to deprecate the importance of your experiences.  Please admit to something more realistic.  While there may have been many other women is similar situations, your were unique as American wives and mothers (in addition to other working responsibilities you may have had) in a European culture that is changing and, some years from now, may be remembered wistfully, fearfully, joyously, or even angrily.
That genre of experiences will surely be written by others and valued historically.  But how much more prized  it would be to see and here directly from you in unrehearsed and casual interplay!  Whatever might result from his would be for you alone to control.  It is my humble but strong opinion that your descendants would prize this highly.  I can promise you that because of my experiences already with other camcorder tapes that I have made, put on VHS or DVD format and given to the participants for their children and grandchildren.
So please think seriously about getting together again the first meeting of the Senior Citizens after New Years, 1/3/08, and spending some relaxed time in front of my camcorder.  It would not be appropriate to do anything more in planning for this other than just to recall now a variety of daily things that were a part of your life.  If you happened to have an interview with the Crowned Heads of Europe or the Pope  that would be of interest but certainly not the main thrust of this exercise.

Can you imagine how interesting it would be for you if you could see and hear you parents or grandparents talk about their lives -- perhaps in the "old country" if they were immigrants, or during the "roaring twenties" or the depression.  We live in changing times now, perhaps momentously so and I am reminded of that WW ll song  --  "The last time I saw Paris, her heart was young and gay, no matter how they change her, I'll remember her that way".  So let's remember how Europe was not too many years ago.

Long time war with Islam


 
Why the Marine Hymn Contains the Verse "To the Shores of Tripoli"
 
 
Most Americans are unaware of the fact that over two hundred years ago the United States had declared war on Islam and Thomas Jefferson led the charge!
 
At the height of the eighteenth century, Muslim pirates were the terror of the Mediterranean and a large area of the North Atlantic.
 
They attacked every ship in sight, and held the crews for exorbitant ransoms.    Those taken hostage were subjected to barbaric treatment and wrote heart-breaking letters home, begging their government and family members to pay whatever their Mohammedan captors demanded.
 
These extortionists of the high seas represented the Islamic nations of Tripoli, Tunis, Morocco, and Algiers collectively referred to as the Barbary Coast and presented a dangerous and unprovoked threat to the new American Republic.
 
Before the Revolutionary War, U.S. merchant ships had been under the protection of Great Britain.      When the U.S. declared its independence and entered into war, the ships of the United States were protected by France. However, once the war was won, America had to protect its own fleets.
 
Thus, the birth of the U.S. Navy.    Beginning in 1784, seventeen years before he would become president, Thomas Jefferson became America’s Minister to France.    That same year, the U.S. Congress sought to appease its Muslim adversaries by following in the footsteps of European nations who paid bribes to the Barbary States rather than engaging them in war.
 
In July of 1785, Algerian pirates captured American ships, and the Dye of Algiers demanded an unheard-of ransom of $60,000.   It was a plain and simple case of extortion, and Thomas Jefferson was vehemently opposed to any further payments.    Instead, he proposed to Congress the formation of a coalition of allied nations who together could force the Islamic states into peace.     A disinterested Congress decided to pay the ransom.
 
In 1786, Thomas Jefferson and John Adams met with Tripoli's ambassador to Great Britain to ask by what right his nation attacked American ships and enslaved American citizens, and why Muslims held so much hostility towards America, a nation with which they had no previous contacts.
 
The two future presidents reported that Ambassador Sidi Haji Abdul Rahman Adja had answered that Islam "was founded on the Laws of their Prophet, that it was written in their Quran that all nations who would not have acknowledged their authority were sinners, that it was their right and duty to make war upon them wherever they could be found, and to make slaves of all they could take as Prisoners, and that every Musselman (Muslim) who should be slain in Battle was sure to go to Paradise."
 
Despite this stunning admission of premeditated violence on non-Muslim nations, as well as the objections of many notable American leaders, including George Washington, who warned that caving in was both wrong and would only further embolden the enemy, for the following fifteen years the American government paid the Muslims millions of dollars for the safe passage of American ships or the return of American hostages.    The payments in ransom and tribute amounted to over twenty percent of the United States government annual revenues in 1800.
 
Jefferson was disgusted.   Shortly after his being sworn in as the third President of the United States in 1801, the Pasha of Tripoli sent him a note demanding the immediate payment of $225,000 plus $25,000 a year for every year forthcoming.     That changed everything. Jefferson let the Pasha know, in no uncertain terms, what he could do with his demand.    The Pasha responded by cutting down the flagpole at the American consulate and declared war on the United States.     Tunis, Morocco, and Algiers immediately followed suit.     Jefferson, until now, had been against America raising a naval force for anything beyond coastal defense, but, having watched his nation be cowed by Islamic thuggery for long enough, decided that is was finally time to meet force with force.
 
He dispatched a squadron of frigates to the Mediterranean and taught the Muslim nations of the Barbary Coast a lesson he hoped they would never forget.    Congress authorized Jefferson to empower U.S. ships to seize all vessels and goods of the Pasha of Tripoli and to cause to be done all other acts of precaution or hostility as the state of war would justify.
 
When Algiers and Tunis, who were both accustomed to American cowardice and acquiescence, saw the newly independent United States had both the will and the right to strike back, they quickly abandoned their allegiance to Tripoli.    The war with Tripoli lasted for four more years, and raged up again in 1815.    The bravery of the U.S. Marine Corps in these wars led to the line to the shores of Tripoli in the Marine Hymn, and they would forever be known as leathernecks for the leather collars of their uniforms, designed to prevent their heads from being cut off by the Muslim scimitars when boarding enemy ships.
 
Islam, and what its Barbary followers justified doing in the name of their prophet and their god, disturbed Jefferson quite deeply.
 
America had a tradition of religious tolerance, the fact that Jefferson, himself, had co-authored the Virginia Statute for Religious Freedom, but fundamentalist Islam was like no other religion the world had ever seen.    A religion based on supremacism, whose holy book not only condoned but mandated violence against unbelievers, was unacceptable to him.     His greatest fear was that someday this brand of Islam would return and pose an even greater threat to the United States.
 
This should bother every American.    That Muslims have brought about women-only classes and swimming times at taxpayer-funded universities and public pools; that Christians, Jews, and Hindus have been banned from serving on juries where Muslim defendants are being judged; Piggy banks and Porky Pig tissue dispensers have been banned from workplaces because they offend Islamist sensibilities; ice cream has been discontinued at certain Burger King locations because the picture on the wrapper looks similar to the Arabic script for Allah; public schools are pulling pork from their menus; on and on and on and on.
 
Is it death by a thousand cuts, or inch-by-inch as some refer to i? Most Americans have no idea that this battle is being waged every day across America.    By not fighting back, by allowing groups to obfuscate what is really happening, and not insisting that the Islamists adapt to our own culture, the United States is cutting its own throat with a politically correct knife, and helping to further the Islamists agenda. Sadly, it appears that today's America's leaders would rather be politically correct than victorious!
 
 

Saturday, October 24, 2015

Are we at War? --January 2003

Just one possible scenario January 2003

To all my friends who together with me try to figure out what we should do!!

When we are aU talking at the same time it seems difficult, in my opinion, to stay focused on the above subject. It is so easy to fall into Bush bashing and why we are in current difficulties. I am not at this writing attempting to be an apologist for President Bush. I believe the mess we are in is the result of something far beyond just Bush.

At the outset, I believe we are indeed in the early stages of a major world war. So for the moment, try to accept this as just an hypothesis and see if my analogies make any sense. (If you disagree with this, l hope you will put in writing a different analogy and a scenario of your own as to what we might do.)

We (the USA) were ill prepared for either WWI or WWIl. When we finally were forced to enter these conflicts, we made several feints that were not decisive victories but were appropriate in the overall conflict while we marshaled our strengths and moved slowly in the right direction. It took a long time with island hopping along the way before we could even consider attacking Japan directly. So when I hear that we should have attacked Iran (or North Korea) rather than Iraq, I am reminded that it is necessary to choose battles carefully. And if, once again, you are willing to accept my thesis that we are in a major world war, perhaps it is reasonable to consider that our leaders chose an acceptable feint.

I try to make an analogy of our current situation like a boil on my body that has been slowly growing for several years (at least since early attacks on our culture by Muslim terrorists in the 1980s). I don't have a certain explanation for why this boil is on my body. Some folks (the Mea Culpa group) tell me it is my fault for doing something bad that caused the infection. Maybe that is so but maybe it is simply the fault of my less-than-perfect humanity and my genes. Now what should I do about this boil? Let it slowly grow until it festers? Or maybe my body will cure it without any action by me! If it does continue to get worse, I expect I will eventually be forced to lance it, go through painful time and recover. If I follow the latter course of action I feel the healing will be more difficult and I expect I would be better off doing something about it now since it is growing rapidly.

Can Arabs, who make up one-fifth of Israel's population, be loyal citizens of the Jewish state?



Can Arabs, who make up one-fifth of Israel's population, be loyal citizens of the Jewish state?
My interlocutors generally brushed aside questions about Islam. It almost felt impolite to mention the Islamic imperative that Muslims (who make up 84 percent of the Israeli Arab population) rule themselves, Discussing the Islamic drive for application of Islamic law drew blank looks and a shift to more immediate topics.
This avoidance reminded me of Turkey before 2002, when mainstream Turks assumed that Atatürk's revolution was permanent and assumed Islamists would remain a fringe phenomenon. They proved very wrong: a decade after Islamists democratically rode to power in late 2002, the elected government steadily applied more Islamic laws and built a neo-Ottoman regional power.
I predict a similar evolution in Israel, as Israeli Arab paradoxes grow more acute. Muslim citizens of Israel will continue to grow in numbers, skills, and confidence, becoming simultaneously more integral to the country's life and more ambitious to throw off Jewish sovereignty. This suggests that as Israel overcomes external threats, Israeli Arabs will emerge as an ever-greater concern. Indeed, I predict they represent the ultimate obstacle to establishing the Jewish homeland anticipated by Theodor Herzl and Lord Balfour.

Sunday, October 18, 2015

SED Los Alamos

Special Engineer Detachment

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Special Engineer Detachment (SED) was a US Army program that identified enlisted personnel with technical skills, such as machining, or who had some science education beyond high school. Those identified were organized into the Special Engineer Detachment, or SED. SED personnel began arriving at Los Alamos in October 1943. By August 1945, 1800 SED personnel worked at Los Alamos. These troops worked in all areas and activities of the Laboratory, including the Trinity Test, and were involved in overseas operations on Tinian.

Invest with O'neil

7/15/08
Here I have been sitting for several weeks now and sleeping peacefully at night, fat dumb and happy that I was all in cash -- eagerly but patiently waiting for the market to turn so I would have some cash to invest when the odds favored the market to rise -- also feeling quite superior that my regular account (closed transactions) was actually up 8% or so for the year.
Am I not correct in my assumption that O'Neil's general aversion to low priced stocks is to some extent based on the difficulty in getting out in time when the price moves against you?
Why did I buy ALTI this past week?
I got the surprise of my life when I received in the mail on 7/14 a confirmation from Fidelity that I had bought 
        Total Cost
ALTI : on 7/19 1000 shares at 2.2182 2,226.20
  500              at  2.1682 1,092.10

ALTI: on 7/11 500 at 1.8982   957.10
    7/14             500                at 1.8182   917.10
_________
5,192.50

The purchases on 7/19 cost 2.2122 per share
The price at close of business on 7/14  was 1.80
This means that this particular purchase is down 0.412 or 18.73%

The total purchases on 7/11 and 7/14 is 1,874.20/1000 = 1.874 per share
These are down 0.074 per share or 3.95%

The total cost of all 2500 shares is 5,192.50 or 2.077 per share
This average share is down 0.277 or 13.34%

I must sell it all immediately.

My problem is why you bought it in the first place.  I was feeling so relieved that I have been sitting in cash waiting for a confirmed rally to occur before buying anything again.  It may take several months or only a few days but the market will tell me when the tide has turned and there is plenty of time in the future.
In the meantime I have been quite pleased that my account for this whole year was up $2,228.59 or about 8.9% -- not bad in this terrible bear market!!
On these current transactions I am down (before selling out)  approx. $692.50, but the account is still up $1,536.09 for the year or about 3.83%

You have had several profitable trades this year.  I wonder if they were all bought or not during a "confirmed rally" period?

I would like you to write your thinking down as to why you should or should not have bought when you did -- particularly these last two transactions while it is fresh in your memory.  I think you were gambling against the odds.  The things that bother me about this is first of all that the market had not yet told us that the correction was potentially over and that a new confirmed rally was potentially on.  The tide has not yet turned in our favor.   Secondly this was a low priced stock that inherently makes it more difficult to get out quickly at a 7-8% loss.  Thirdly, my account is not renewable which makes any risk taking more dangerous.
Why did you buy?  Did you know something that the market did not know?  It looks to me as if you were gambling against the odds.  Somehow or the other I must stick with the odds as best I can determine them and patiently wait for a confirmed rally and a slow recovery in the future whenever that may be.
I would hate to conclude that you are addicted to gambling.  There is no place for that in investing.  I hope and pray that you are not doing that with your own money.  I want to help you while I still have something left as you get back on your feet with a job but I can't support a gambling addiction.  We will both go down the tubes and it is not necessary.


Saturday, October 17, 2015

Creation and half lives

1/6/2012
I think I am safe in describing the years of my lifetime and probably including most of yours  as perhaps the most turbulent in history.  With that in mind I like to entitle this talk as "Six years that changed the world forever" with a sub title of "From the Discovery of Nuclear Fission in 1939 to the dropping of atom bombs in 1945 and proof of Einstein's corollary, E=MC2)
First let me describe what Einstein deduced back around 1910.  That little equation postulated that energy and mass (or matter) are really the same thing, just in different form.  It is not exactly the same  but think of energy and matter being like ice and water!  All you have to do is heat up the ice and it turns into water.  It is not the same for matter!  You have to do something different to get matter to change into energy.  In the case of Uranium or Plutonium you have to induce a "chain reaction" whereupon this "matter" of its own free will and accord disintegrates itself into pure energy.
I expect you may remember those old timey wedding vows, "What God has joined together, let no man put asunder."  Well, that is what it looks like we may have done!
If you are satisfied that something truly momentous happened at the "Big Bang" of creation some 15 or so billion years go, today's theory is that out of nothing or something the theoretical physicists call a "singularity", came a tremendous quantity of energy in a form still under consideration as to what it was like.   You have probably heard of the so-called "string theory" in which the energy is likened to a vibrating string, having no discernable physical mass, just vibrating energy at millions of degrees temperature.  As the temperature dropped, this vibrating energy eventually coalesced into matter from which our universe came.  That's the part about "What God has put together."  It has taken man a long time to learn how to reverse that -- you know, "putting it asunder".
`Now let me tell you a little of what we think we know about Uranium or Plutonium as examples.  It is the same for both.  They are slowly disintegrating as we speak and were probably both created shortly after  the original "Big Bang".  Each of these has a "Half Life" deduced from measurements by our physicists as to how long before there is only half of what there was -- due to  self disintegration.  By calculating  backwards, it appears that Uranium may have been around as long as one of the current estimates of the age of our universe.  Uranium's half life is thought to be 4.5 billion years (Plutonium's is only 713 million).  Both may have been created at the same time but natural Plutonium has long since disappeared.  So 4.5 billions years ago there should have been twice as much Uranium as there is today and 9.0 billion years ago about 4 times as much as we have today. Fortunately for the sake of the atom bombs, we have learned how to make fissionable Plutonium 239 out of Uranium 238 by adding a neutron to its nucleus in an atomic pile like the Manhattan Project plant built during WWll at Hanford Washington.  We only had enough fissionable Uranium to make one bomb - the " Little Boy" -- the one dropped on Hiroshima.  We only discovered Plutonium and how to make it in 1942 -- giving us a relatively unlimited supply for bombs.
If you postulate that Uranium and Plutonium were created at the same time after the "Big Bang", it is easy to visualize  that natural Plutonium has long since disappeared through self disintegration --  the Plutonium atoms are heavier than Uranium atoms and  probably a little more fragile, perhaps contributing to faster disintegration.
So some of the current theory goes anyway.--------------