Saturday, October 24, 2015

Can Arabs, who make up one-fifth of Israel's population, be loyal citizens of the Jewish state?



Can Arabs, who make up one-fifth of Israel's population, be loyal citizens of the Jewish state?
My interlocutors generally brushed aside questions about Islam. It almost felt impolite to mention the Islamic imperative that Muslims (who make up 84 percent of the Israeli Arab population) rule themselves, Discussing the Islamic drive for application of Islamic law drew blank looks and a shift to more immediate topics.
This avoidance reminded me of Turkey before 2002, when mainstream Turks assumed that Atatürk's revolution was permanent and assumed Islamists would remain a fringe phenomenon. They proved very wrong: a decade after Islamists democratically rode to power in late 2002, the elected government steadily applied more Islamic laws and built a neo-Ottoman regional power.
I predict a similar evolution in Israel, as Israeli Arab paradoxes grow more acute. Muslim citizens of Israel will continue to grow in numbers, skills, and confidence, becoming simultaneously more integral to the country's life and more ambitious to throw off Jewish sovereignty. This suggests that as Israel overcomes external threats, Israeli Arabs will emerge as an ever-greater concern. Indeed, I predict they represent the ultimate obstacle to establishing the Jewish homeland anticipated by Theodor Herzl and Lord Balfour.

Sunday, October 18, 2015

SED Los Alamos

Special Engineer Detachment

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Special Engineer Detachment (SED) was a US Army program that identified enlisted personnel with technical skills, such as machining, or who had some science education beyond high school. Those identified were organized into the Special Engineer Detachment, or SED. SED personnel began arriving at Los Alamos in October 1943. By August 1945, 1800 SED personnel worked at Los Alamos. These troops worked in all areas and activities of the Laboratory, including the Trinity Test, and were involved in overseas operations on Tinian.

Invest with O'neil

7/15/08
Here I have been sitting for several weeks now and sleeping peacefully at night, fat dumb and happy that I was all in cash -- eagerly but patiently waiting for the market to turn so I would have some cash to invest when the odds favored the market to rise -- also feeling quite superior that my regular account (closed transactions) was actually up 8% or so for the year.
Am I not correct in my assumption that O'Neil's general aversion to low priced stocks is to some extent based on the difficulty in getting out in time when the price moves against you?
Why did I buy ALTI this past week?
I got the surprise of my life when I received in the mail on 7/14 a confirmation from Fidelity that I had bought 
        Total Cost
ALTI : on 7/19 1000 shares at 2.2182 2,226.20
  500              at  2.1682 1,092.10

ALTI: on 7/11 500 at 1.8982   957.10
    7/14             500                at 1.8182   917.10
_________
5,192.50

The purchases on 7/19 cost 2.2122 per share
The price at close of business on 7/14  was 1.80
This means that this particular purchase is down 0.412 or 18.73%

The total purchases on 7/11 and 7/14 is 1,874.20/1000 = 1.874 per share
These are down 0.074 per share or 3.95%

The total cost of all 2500 shares is 5,192.50 or 2.077 per share
This average share is down 0.277 or 13.34%

I must sell it all immediately.

My problem is why you bought it in the first place.  I was feeling so relieved that I have been sitting in cash waiting for a confirmed rally to occur before buying anything again.  It may take several months or only a few days but the market will tell me when the tide has turned and there is plenty of time in the future.
In the meantime I have been quite pleased that my account for this whole year was up $2,228.59 or about 8.9% -- not bad in this terrible bear market!!
On these current transactions I am down (before selling out)  approx. $692.50, but the account is still up $1,536.09 for the year or about 3.83%

You have had several profitable trades this year.  I wonder if they were all bought or not during a "confirmed rally" period?

I would like you to write your thinking down as to why you should or should not have bought when you did -- particularly these last two transactions while it is fresh in your memory.  I think you were gambling against the odds.  The things that bother me about this is first of all that the market had not yet told us that the correction was potentially over and that a new confirmed rally was potentially on.  The tide has not yet turned in our favor.   Secondly this was a low priced stock that inherently makes it more difficult to get out quickly at a 7-8% loss.  Thirdly, my account is not renewable which makes any risk taking more dangerous.
Why did you buy?  Did you know something that the market did not know?  It looks to me as if you were gambling against the odds.  Somehow or the other I must stick with the odds as best I can determine them and patiently wait for a confirmed rally and a slow recovery in the future whenever that may be.
I would hate to conclude that you are addicted to gambling.  There is no place for that in investing.  I hope and pray that you are not doing that with your own money.  I want to help you while I still have something left as you get back on your feet with a job but I can't support a gambling addiction.  We will both go down the tubes and it is not necessary.


Saturday, October 17, 2015

Creation and half lives

1/6/2012
I think I am safe in describing the years of my lifetime and probably including most of yours  as perhaps the most turbulent in history.  With that in mind I like to entitle this talk as "Six years that changed the world forever" with a sub title of "From the Discovery of Nuclear Fission in 1939 to the dropping of atom bombs in 1945 and proof of Einstein's corollary, E=MC2)
First let me describe what Einstein deduced back around 1910.  That little equation postulated that energy and mass (or matter) are really the same thing, just in different form.  It is not exactly the same  but think of energy and matter being like ice and water!  All you have to do is heat up the ice and it turns into water.  It is not the same for matter!  You have to do something different to get matter to change into energy.  In the case of Uranium or Plutonium you have to induce a "chain reaction" whereupon this "matter" of its own free will and accord disintegrates itself into pure energy.
I expect you may remember those old timey wedding vows, "What God has joined together, let no man put asunder."  Well, that is what it looks like we may have done!
If you are satisfied that something truly momentous happened at the "Big Bang" of creation some 15 or so billion years go, today's theory is that out of nothing or something the theoretical physicists call a "singularity", came a tremendous quantity of energy in a form still under consideration as to what it was like.   You have probably heard of the so-called "string theory" in which the energy is likened to a vibrating string, having no discernable physical mass, just vibrating energy at millions of degrees temperature.  As the temperature dropped, this vibrating energy eventually coalesced into matter from which our universe came.  That's the part about "What God has put together."  It has taken man a long time to learn how to reverse that -- you know, "putting it asunder".
`Now let me tell you a little of what we think we know about Uranium or Plutonium as examples.  It is the same for both.  They are slowly disintegrating as we speak and were probably both created shortly after  the original "Big Bang".  Each of these has a "Half Life" deduced from measurements by our physicists as to how long before there is only half of what there was -- due to  self disintegration.  By calculating  backwards, it appears that Uranium may have been around as long as one of the current estimates of the age of our universe.  Uranium's half life is thought to be 4.5 billion years (Plutonium's is only 713 million).  Both may have been created at the same time but natural Plutonium has long since disappeared.  So 4.5 billions years ago there should have been twice as much Uranium as there is today and 9.0 billion years ago about 4 times as much as we have today. Fortunately for the sake of the atom bombs, we have learned how to make fissionable Plutonium 239 out of Uranium 238 by adding a neutron to its nucleus in an atomic pile like the Manhattan Project plant built during WWll at Hanford Washington.  We only had enough fissionable Uranium to make one bomb - the " Little Boy" -- the one dropped on Hiroshima.  We only discovered Plutonium and how to make it in 1942 -- giving us a relatively unlimited supply for bombs.
If you postulate that Uranium and Plutonium were created at the same time after the "Big Bang", it is easy to visualize  that natural Plutonium has long since disappeared through self disintegration --  the Plutonium atoms are heavier than Uranium atoms and  probably a little more fragile, perhaps contributing to faster disintegration.
So some of the current theory goes anyway.--------------



Friday, August 8, 2014

Loading the atomic bombs on Tinian

An illustrated guide to the Atomic Bombs
By Ryan Crierie

NOTES: A large number of these photos were assembled from the RG-77-BT collection in the Still Photo collection of the National Archives II building in College Park, MD.

Early Bombs


“Thin Man” Plutonium Gun Type Bomb Casings in 1944. In the background you can see “Fat Man” casings. It is unknown whether they are the early Model 1222 “Fat Man” casings, which required 1,200 bolts to assemble, or the later Model 1561 casings which were substantially easier to assemble and which were used for the production versions.

Initial Bomb Assembly and Test


Photograph of personnel checking a casing. A significant number of extra casings were shipped to Tinian and used in various tests with “dummy” bombs which contained all the active components of a working atomic bomb, but no fissile material to test out and prove the assembly procedures for the actual devices themselves.

Implosion Sphere for Fat Man nearly assembled and about to be placed inside it's casing.

Photograph from LANL History website showing partially shrouded Little Boy unit designated L-1. This unit was assembled with non-nuclear components and dropped on 23 July 1945. Test was a complete success.

Little Boy unit checked up to a bank of equipment; possibly to test/charge components within the device. Unknown whether this is a test unit or L-11; the unit dropped on Hiroshima.


Project A (Alberta) member CDR A. Francis Birch (left) numbers Little Boy Unit L-11 while Norman Ramsey (right) watches. This is the actual unit which was dropped on Nagasaki.

Final Bomb Assembly

Fat Man devices after they were assembled, underwent a final procedure outside the Assembly Building, where their crevices were filled with putty, and then oversprayed with sealant to maintain the proper environment within the device during the time it would take to deliver it to the target.

In this photograph, you can see the putty being applied to the forward polar plate.


The sealant is now being applied via spray gun.


Workers have substantially completed application of the sealant. Note the writing on the tail fin assembly and the logo on the bomb's polar plate and on the worker's coveralls.


This is a frame taken from a color movie taken of the sealant application, showing the color of the device and sealant/putty.


Once the device was virtually complete, workers began to sign their names and various exhortations onto the device.


Close up of names on tail assembly of Fat Man.


“A Second Kiss for Hirohito!” signed by Rear Admiral W.R. Purnell, USN on the side of Fat Man.


The completed Fat Man device is being lowered/checked over on it's transport dolly for the trip to the airfield.

Bomb Loading


The completed bomb was then towed towards the airfield under cover with an escort.


It's destination? One of two bomb pits constructed on Tinian.


Pit Number One Today. This pit was used to load Little Boy onto the Enola Gay. Identification was accomplished by historians from studying photographs of the bomb loading sequences and comparing the bolt holes in the photographs to the pits today.


Pit Number Two today. It was used to load Fat Man onto Bocks' Car.


Preliminary pit alignment was proceeded with.


The Bomb and it's dolley were then manually pushed towards the pit.


The device's alignment was checked over by eye and hand.


The towing cable was then disconnected from the dolley as MPs kept watch.


The device was then raised up on a hydraulic lift and the metal gutters which guided it over the pit were removed.


Once it was aligned with the pit, the device was then lowered down.


Device almost lowered to the bottom of the pit.


Device now fully seated in the pit. Still covered with tarp for security reasons.


The aircraft that will carry the device is then backed up slowly over the pit.



Alignment of the device with the aircraft's bomb bay proceeded with a lot of 'hands on' from fairly high ranking personnel.


Once the device was aligned up, the security/protective shroud was removed in anticipation of loading.


This is Unit L-11; the actual “Little Boy” bomb being (or about to be) loaded into the Enola Gay.


Hydraulic lift has raised the device about halfway into the bomb bay.


The device is nearly there...


View from within the pit showing the dolley frame and the fully extended hydraulic lift.


The device is now in the bomb bay and is in the process of being attached to the sway brackets that will secure it to the aircraft.


A different view of the device in the bay.

Friday, July 11, 2014

Information to VA about June, 2007

File No. 10858386 VA Form 21-4138

When the war was over in August 1945 I had been working at S-Site at Los Alamos where we cast the high explosive lenses that caused the implosion and super criticality of Plutonium in the Nagasaki type of bomb -- referred to as "Fat Man" or "Implosion Device".   
We stopped making that type of bomb immediately after Japan  surrendered and I was in effect temporarily out of a job and waiting for a new Army assignment.
Work was continued, however, at DP-Site in the processing of Plutonium.
A civilian by the name of Hightower was in charge of personnel for at least S-Site and perhaps other areas.  He arranged for me to interview personnel management at DP-Site -- civilians named Frank Pittman and a Mr. Hassen.
My transfer (still in the Army Special Engineering Detachment)  was affirmed and I went to work at DP-Site in the final stage of operation (designed by Myron Kratzer) in which I separated some of the Plutonium residue  from a liquid mix via filtering in a dry box operation.  The final radioactive effluent was then piped outside into 55 gallon drums -- where it resided at least until I left for discharge from the Army in July 1946.  These drums were quite radioactively hot.
On the occasion of a visit to Los Alamos with my wife in 1995, I wanted to show her where I had worked at DP-Site but discovered it was completely off limits and fenced off from anyone because of radiation.
It was at DP-Site where I experience involvement with radioactivity that  might have been significant in the identification of cancer quite a few years later.  The "lipo-sarcoma" is apparently very slow growing and perhaps it is not too much of a stretch to connect it to my Los Alamos involvement.  The prostate cancer which was discovered in the Spring of 2006 and apparently successfully treated in July of 2006 with radiation seed implants could surely have been unrelated as it is commonly an old man's disease.  However no one in my immediate family (three brothers and my Mother) have had any cancer, nor do I recall it in any ancestors.  My Father had been in the trenches in France in 1918 and was gassed twice.  He died in 1942 or a heart attack.  My Mother lived until she was 94.  My three brothers  (ages 75 to 86) are still alive -- no cancer.
While working at DP-Site we wore dosimeters and daily had urine checks as I  recall, and perhaps throat swabs.  Every six weeks I was sent off the Hill for a three day pass, reporting immediately back in to the hospital for a 24 hour check of everything going in and out of me -- to check for residual radiation, I assume.  I was never informed of anything amiss at the time so assumed all was within any approved limits.  I have no idea as to how you might recover any such records, if still available.
Please re-read the attached statement submitted on 9/22/06 -- particularly the last paragraph in which I indicated I am not looking for any disability payments.  I am 82 now with a fairly active life style but I want my record in the VA loop in case something more catastrophic should occur that could be related to my honorable and proud service in the Army of the United States from September 1944 to July 1946 -- including time at Los Alamos working on the Atom Bomb.
Please also note the attached copy of a letter dated 10/11/06 indicating the 4 different forms from the doctors who attended me, that you have previously 
received.

Sincerely,  Ralph P. Gates, Jr.

(dog tag: 44 020 574)

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Fantastic young ladies(and Marie Curie and Lise Meitner)


From: Ralph Gates <frkenn@comcast.net>
Subject: Fantastic Young Ladies
Date: May 15, 2014 11:11:21 PM MDT
To: lpeek@kpcw.org, Ethel Preston <epreston@kpcw.org>
Cc: Dan Schweikert <danschweik@email.com>, Emily Norton <emsy246poo@earthlink.net>, ed kneller <knellerew@gmail.com>

HI Lynn!
Ethel suggested I tell you about this.  It refers to your interview this morning involving the two remarkable young ladies who are in the running for honors at the Intel International Science and Engineering Fair.  I wanted to call the station during the interview but was driving up to Elk Meadows to pick up a couple of other fantastic elder ladies to take them to the Senior Center for lunch and socializing.
If I had had the chance to comment on the air I would have done my best to let other young girls know more about the great contributions that women have made in science and engineering.   In particular I would have talked about two ladies who made two of perhaps  the three most important discoveries  leading to the development of the atom bomb first, and then nuclear power.  
Marie (Sklodowska) Curie  -- 
Born  1867 in Warsaw Poland, she was an outstanding student in college there but was a bit of a young revolutionary against Tsarist Russia who controlled Poland at the time.  She wanted to pursue her technical studies but could not get financial help there.   So she applied for a job and studies at the famous Sorbonne University in Paris.  She was accepted in about 1890 and was mentored (?) by Henri Becquerel who was recognized for his work with X-Rays (originally called "Becquerel Rays", I think).  You have probably enjoyed having your teeth x-rayed on occasion.   You may have noticed that after the assistant has placed the machine agains your jaw, she goes into  another room and flips a switch which momentarily causes development of the x-rays.  it's important at this moment to remember that she had to "flip the switch" to develop the x-rays  that made it work.
I am now going to bore you (I hope not!) with somewhat of an anecdotal story about Marie Sklodowski as part of my talk about my personal experience with the Manhattan Project at Los Alamos during WWll.
Marie S. was working in1891 with Uranium (which as an element had been discovered some years earlier) learning how it reacted with other chemicals.  She had made uranyl sulphate, a solid material, that was totally inert as far as she knew at the time, when late in the afternoon, she closed up the lab for the day.  She put the little sample in a cabinet for the night, turned out the lights and went home.  This is probably apocryphal but I like to speculate she went home to fix dinner for her new boy friend, Pierre Curie, who also worked in that lab.  Perhaps she was also an excellent cook!  At any rate she became Marie Curie a couple of years later. 
      Now the plot thickens!   In that cabinet there was nothing other than the supposedly inert uranium compound and several unexposed photographic plates,  carefully wrapped up in a protective covering to prevent any exposure to light.  The next morning Marie wanted to do something with the unexposed photograph plates and found them all glossed over and exposed!  She expected the culprit must have been the uranium compound and, without any switch to turn on, she quickly realized this inert stuff had given off,  on its own, enough energy in the form of rays to expose the plates through all their protective sheath. 
She gave this phenomenon the name "RADIOACTIVITY".  And for this, in 1902, she became the first woman to receive the Nobel Prize in Physics (and a few years later, with Pierre, she became the only women, so far, ever to receive two Nobel Prizes!) 

Now for Lise Meitner -- 
a Jewish lady physicist born in Vienna in 1878, called the Mother of the Atom Bomb in some circles, while Oppenheimer is called the Father of the AtomBomb.  She reportedly regretted that moniker  later on.  Like Marie she was stigmatized at the time as a woman who had no legitimate place in the world of science.  
 After graduating from the University of Vienna in 1906, Meitner went to Berlin to attend lectures by Max Planck, later winner of the Nobel Prize for his work in quantum mechanics. This existence of the the atom had only recently been discovered and the study of radiation was new and exciting --and Berlin was where these sciences were being advanced most vigorously. She decided to stay.
"A WOMAN'S PLACE
At the University of Berlin, Meitner had to ask permission to attend classes. Planck was reluctant to allow a woman in, but begrudgingly gave his permission, saying, "It cannot be emphasized strongly enough that Nature itself has designated for woman her vocation as mother and housewife, and that under no circumstances can natural laws be ignored without grave damage." Planck later recognized that Meitner had great talent, and she became his assistant."
Lise stayed in Germany for 31 years until near the end of 1938 when Hitler's purge of Jews became so intense that she had to escape to Denmark and finally to Sweden where she became a citizen and stayed the rest of her life.  About the time she left Germany she published a paper describing her work in bombarding uranium with neutrons, resulting in splitting the nucleus into new elements with a total of less mass and with release of energy, according to Einstein's famous postulate  (E=MCsquared) that matter and energy are the same thing, just in different form.  She called this "FISSION" and raised fear among physicists around the world that Hitler might be ahead of everyone in developing a powerful bomb.  This lead rather quickly to the start of the Manhattan Project by the US and eventually to the end of WWll with the atomic bombing of Japan.
With Einstein's postulate (announced around 1909) being the third of the three important most important discoveries, I would like to say in common vernacular that these two gals who spent there whole lives working with radiation were really "Hot".
I hope I may be excused for "political incorrectness" if it be judged that way but I come from the generation right after WWll that worked in a corporate world that typically required women employees to wear dresses and long stockings.  As I recall it was at least 1965 before pants suits were acceptable and the so-called "glass ceiling" began to crack.  Back in Curie's and Meitner's time it was more like a "glass enclosure"! 
So I hope many girls will be intrigued and enthused by the excitement that technology offers and will find just reward and personal satisfaction for their contributions.  

We are surely proud of our young scientists, Elizabeth Prucka and Maddie Reed, and whether-or-not they win first place this time, their future is bright and exciting!